With the election only about 7 weeks away (and election lawsuits about one hour more than that), I wanted to throw a couple of things out there. One, I’ve been adding things to my Vote Fraud Page with some regularity. Not all are, strictly speaking, “fraud,” but they are things related to unreliable vote systems, people, and tallys. Two, there is a neat tool at NBC called “Swing the Election” that allows you to make prediction on different demographic changes to who votes, and see how that would affect the 2020 election compared to 2016. You might have dun with it.
For example, if all demographics turn out at the same rates and proportions as last time, and they vote the same, Biden wins (flips four states). BUT if non-college whites raise the Trump vote 5% to 73%, Trump win with 322 EC votes. If Blacks shift to vote for him at a 17% rate, he wins with 296. If both happen Trump gets 322. if he adds 6% for college-educated whites (from 46% to 52%), then he’s at 350 EC votes to 188…. fun to play with.