It’s common in election years to have accusations of vote fraud thrown around. There is no question that it happens, some where, to some degree. The real question in the debates I have is how much is there, who is doing it, how organized is it, and does it actually have any significant effect on election outcomes? I’m talking the basic ballot-box stuffing, counting fraud, etc., not the back-room deals and pressure WRT who runs or not, and a partisan media giving free positive coverage to one side and negative coverage the other way. Just the actual vote casting and counting “irregularities.” So I put up a page, listed under “plague” on the menu (where I’ll put all “off-topic from writing” pages, I think), and just keep adding things there as I see the stories.
I believe it’s reasonable to assume that people who are partisan Dems in their other activities will commit fraud in favor of Dem candidates and causes, and in Dem strongholds pro-Dem fraud is much more likely to occur; similarly, long-time partisan Republicans will commit pro-R fraud.
As I come across interesting things about the Wuhan Flu, rather than adding new posts, I’ll just keep adding things to a coronavirus Plague page. New things on top.
I built a new computer because my old one was ~10 years old, getting flaky, and slow. After a few hiccups it works fine, as near as I can tell. I have both Windows 10 (because they don’t sell Win7 any more, and I got a good deal on it) as well as dual-booting with Linux. In the interests of maintaining current on popular technology, and because I could not find my MS Office 2007 disks which I had installed on my old machine, I bought a license (again, a very good deal) for Office 2019. Continue reading How is this not fraud?
My parents, who are in their 90s and living in a retirement residence, tested positive for the Wuhan Flu / Covid19. They are in generally good health for their age, physically, particularly my dad. First symptoms earlier this week. I’ll keep this updated as there are more developments.
Update 1: Pop’s doc, claiming studies linked chloroquine to kidney damage (no specifics given, but likely something like the crappy Brazilian or Swedish studies that used high doses of chloroquine, which is known to be toxic (and why we now use hydroxychloroquine instead)), refuses to proscribe HYDROXYchloroquine or z-pax or anything. He’s already taking a multi-vitamin and some extra D3, so they (pop, doc, my sister, who has power of attorney and is heavily involved in parental support and medical things) don’t think that any additional is needed on that front. Treatment plan is “monitor them, if symptoms worsen call 911 and go to the ER.” My dad, who gives great weight to professional / credentialed opinions, agrees. Sigh. Prayers and hopes that generally good underlying health will suffice. If not, I will not be amused.
Update 2: Latest report is that they are improving steadily. Mom in no discomfort, no more coughing, dad back to sounding grumpy rather than just tired and old. General health signs like blood oxygen and temp are good. Basically, a very minor case or strain of it, and good general health, appears to mean that even without any medication intervention things are generally looking good. Once they have recovered, presumably, because they can no longer catch it, they are likely to be out of lock / quarantine.. Continue reading Wuhan Flu in the family
With the ever-increasing number of documents being released showing that various high-ranking members in the Obama administration lied to the public about their nefarious activities, it will be harder and harder for the public to swallow the mendacious story they are spinning to the media, which the media keeps breathlessly repeating and amping up. But eventually the honest folks of the nation will demand accountability, and the honest folks in the DoJ, FBI, CIA, within the judiciary, etc., will agree and start moving forward with prosecution. The various high-ranking Obama officials will not want to be left holding the bag as the ring-leader when charges of treason are in the air, so they will all point to (at least one other) someone else.
At least a few of them will most assuredly point to Obama. So the question is:
Who will Obama point at to avoid jail or the firing squad?
Heretics of St. Possenti, the story of the founding of the eponymous order of monks, is now out in paperback.
My old machine is old, and starting to act flaky, so I built a new one. AMD 3600, Asrock Steel Legend X570 motherboard, NVME M.2 SSD for the main Windows boot drive, second one for Linux Mint boot, new 4TB HDD for bulk storage, decent video card. I also added some older HDDs for storage, and to get things off of them. I get Win10 installed to the M.2 drive, and it works well. I can remote log into it so I can work with it while I start to migrate things over, get it configured properly and install software while also using my old machine, but using just one mouse, keyboard, and monitor. Life is looking pretty good. Continue reading I needed a DISKPART god…
I’ve seen a number of reports, news stories, and comments in various places that testing a treatment or cure for the Wuhan Flu / Covid19 would be horribly difficult and time consuming, saying in effect that because the fatality rate is so low – something less than 2% (possibly lower than 0.5% if there are a lot of asymptomatic cases out there) – that you’d have to test a HUGE number of people in order to prove the effectiveness, because in 98%+ of the cases people survive anyway. In a word, NO. Continue reading Testing low-rate problems
When life is happening fast, you have to respond fast. I find it interesting that Dr. Fouci (the CDC communicable disease guy on the podium supposedly advising Trump about the Wuhan virus) keeps dismissing the hydroxychloroquine + z-pak + zinc treatment / cure for the disease as “mere anecdote, not rigorous studies showing efficacy.” OK, fair enough. But he’s been saying that for WEEKS. It is claimed to have some effect in 12-24 hours, major improvement in 2-3 days, and perhaps clear it totally in 5. We are now adding more than 10,000 new cases a DAY. How long does it take to put together a study that could test a few thousand people when we’d literally know in a week if it works? I could design a study in a day that would have two or three variables, have a team assemble the med-packs by hand in a day while a couple of web-app geniuses put together a simple data-collection app/website, and in ten days we could have results of a control, five variations of meds, and six thousand or more participants in each treatment groups (control/placebo, hydroxychloroquine only + placebo, hydroxychloroquine + zinc, hydroxychloroquine + zpak, hydroxychloroquine + z-pak + zinc, hydroxychloroquine + z-pak + zinc + vitamins C and D3), somewhat blocked by sex, age, race, and health. Two weeks, tops. Why in the hell can’t these bozos do it in a month with all the money they have to spend?
The normal course of the disease is that it’s a pain for about ten days, then it either starts clearing up, or for about one in five of them it takes a turn for the worse; it’s at this point folk usually head for the ER or Urgent Care. Have them start taking it as soon as possible, then have everyone report their health status on a daily basis via the web-site. Each person would have basic stats and an approximate guess of how many days they’d been symptomatic when they started taking it. Everyone being tested gets a random treatment packet, and they can be blocked up with similar starting dates and demographics taking the other treatments later. You could gather a large enough dataset very quickly that data size would make up for imperfections in perfect blocking and randomization. Two weeks max you’d know conclusively the proper course. With 20% needing some sort of serious medical attention at around day ten, and most people likely starting their meds around day 5 on average, anything less than 10 % taking that turn would be HUGE. And considering the cost per dose on the whole package is ~$5, there isn’t any reason to not do it.
I’d bet they CAN…. so why don’t they? What do they gain by it? Why are they deliberately slow-walking the science? Whose team are they really on?
The following is a work of speculation. I have no specific data showing this is true. It is just a possible ‘what if” sort of story. If it pans out as true, well, some speculation is more astute than others. Continue reading Seeds of self-destruction